Friday, May 25, 2012

GAMBA OSAKA vs SAGAN TOSU

Competition
Japan J-League 

Date
25 May 2012


Game Week
13

Kick-off
17:00 GMT +7

Venue
Expo '70 Commemorative Stadium {Suita-shi (Suita)}


PREVIEW

Gamba Osaka
A team with terrible result recently, from their 6 matches in all competition (home and away), never win even once, what a disaster for a big team such Gamba Osaka. And the most important thing for me, they just score a single goal from their last 6 games in all competition (including AFC Champions League) and accepted 11 goals, really an embarrassing performance shown by a big team such Gamba Osaka.

From their last 6 games, Gamba only once gave ball (gave 0.25 ball), when met Adelaide United (Australia A-League) on AFC Champions League, but unfortunetly they lose 0-2, while twice played on fair ball and also twice given ball, both lose big when played on given ball condition (0-2 and 0-5).

Date Competition Team Score
28-04-2012 J-League Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka 5-0
02-05-2012 AFC CL Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka 2-0
06-05-2012 J-League Omiya Ordija vs Gamba Osaka 1-0
12-05-2012 J-League Gamba Osaka vs Vegalta Sendai 1-1
16-05-2012 AFC CL Gamba Osaka vs Adelaide Utd 0-2
19-05-2012  J-League Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka  0-0



Sagan Tosu
Stands in the middle of the table (8th), collecting 17 point from 12 games they played, scoring 12 goals and conceding 9 goals. Not too bad for a team that was promoted from second division last season. Sagan Tosu won once from their last 6 games, when facing Jubilo Iwata on Japan Cup and they won on their home ground. Draw 4 times, and lose once, againts FC Tokyo when travelled to Ajinomoto Stadium. 

From their last 4 draw games I told before, they lose once on handicap when gave 0.5 ball to Omiya Ardija, and the rest, they won all on handicap. 

Date Competition Team Score
28-04-2012  J-League Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu 1-1
03-05-2012 J-League Sagan Tosu vs Vegalta Sendai 1-1
06-05-2012 J-League Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu  0-0
12-05-2012 J-League Sagan Tosu vs Omiya Ardija 1-1
16-05-2012 Japan Cup Sagan Tosu vs Jubilo Iwata 3-2
20-05-2012 J-League FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu 3-2

Probable lineups

Gamba Osaka (4-4-2) : Kimura, Nakazawa, Konno, Niwa, Fujiharu, Endo, Myojin, Terada, Kurata, Paulinho, Sato. Sagan Tosu: Akahoshi, Kobayashi, Niwa, Kun-Hoan Kim, Sung-Hye Yeo, Mizunuma, Okamoto, Min-Woo Kim, Fujita, Toyoda, Ikeda.

Sagan Tosu (4-4-2) : Akahoshi, Kobayashi, R. Niwa, Sung-Hey Yeo, Mizunuma, Okamoto, Min-Woo Kim, Fujita, Toyoda, Ikeda.



PREDICTION

Gamba Osaka ever met Sagan Tosu once at November 14th, 2009 on Emperor Cup, where Gamba won 3-1, but it's too long ago, just a memory on my view.

Today Gamba favourite to win, indicated from handicap, home team give 0.5 up to 0.75 ball, and for me, it's not fair enough, where as a big team which had a good history and have a superior players than Sagan Tosu and also play on home ground, Gamba should give 1 ball to Sagan Tosu if talking about fair handicap, but it's ok, bookie decided, not me, because i'm not their part.

Enough for the courtesy, here is the main part.

On my view, Sagan Tosu main goal this season is to hold on thier position on J-League, while Gamba Osaka need urgently 3 point full from this game (even all teams need 3 point on each their meeting), and I think they must did it later, remember their opponent today not fit enough for the strenght they have, and they must win with a convincing win and to improve their current position.

Home team for me on handicap 0.5 which bookie gave.




 vs 

GAMBA OSAKA -0.5 FT @0.97


FT
 2 - 3


LOSE

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